{"id":6335,"date":"2025-12-15T16:54:57","date_gmt":"2025-12-15T11:54:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pkfin.kotenterprises.dev\/?p=6335"},"modified":"2025-12-15T16:55:16","modified_gmt":"2025-12-15T11:55:16","slug":"sbp-lowers-policy-rate-to-10-5-with-50bps-reduction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pkfin.kotenterprises.dev\/?p=6335","title":{"rendered":"SBP lowers policy rate to 10.5% with 50bps reduction"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li>Decision contrary to market expectations, which expected central bank to maintain status quo.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Contrary to market expectations, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) decided to reduce the policy rate by 50 basis points (bps) to 10.5% on Monday.<\/p>\n<p>The market expected the central bank to maintain the status quo.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe MPC has decided to decrease the policy rate by 50bps to 10.5% w.e.f. December 16, 2025,\u201d the central bank said.<\/p>\n<p>The latest reduction takes the total easing since rates peaked at 22% to 1,150 basis points. The policy rate had remained unchanged for four consecutive meetings before Monday\u2019s move.<\/p>\n<p>At its previous meeting\u00a0on October 27, 2025, the MPC had decided to keep the policy rate unchanged at 11%, saying that the impact of the recent floods on the broader economy was lower than anticipated. This had been in line with market expectations.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Industrialists push SBP for rate cut ahead of final MPC meeting of 2025<\/strong><\/h2>\n<h2><strong>Market expectations defied<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Market experts had widely expected the central bank to maintain the status quo.<\/p>\n<p>Arif Habib Limited (AHL) had anticipated no change in the policy rate, noting that \u201cmaintaining stability while adopting a cautious stance as the base effect that had been keeping headline inflation low is now fading\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe slight widening of the current account deficit and the early stage of domestic economic recovery further support a prudent, wait-and-see approach from the central bank,\u201d said AHL.<\/p>\n<p>Similarly, a\u00a0<em>Reuters<\/em>\u00a0poll had found that the central bank\u00a0would keep its key interest rate unchanged, as analysts push back rate-cut forecasts to late 2026 after the IMF warned inflation risks persist and policy must stay \u201cappropriately tight\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>All 12 analysts surveyed expected no cut in the policy meeting.<\/p>\n<p>Most respondents believed that the SBP would not begin easing until the closing months of FY26, which ends in June 2026, with some analysts pushing forecasts for the first cut into fiscal year 2027, said the report.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Previous meeting<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>In its last meeting (Oct 27) the committee had noted that headline inflation rose significantly to 5.6% in September, whereas core inflation remained unchanged at 7.3%.<\/p>\n<p>Since the last MPC meeting, several key economic developments have occurred.<\/p>\n<p>The rupee has\u00a0appreciated by 0.2%, while\u00a0petrol prices\u00a0have remained largely unchanged.<\/p>\n<p>Internationally, oil prices have reduced by over 6% since the last MPC, hovering around $57 per barrel.<\/p>\n<p>Pakistan\u2019s headline inflation\u00a0clocked in at 6.1% on a year-on-year (YoY) basis in November 2025, according to Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) data.<\/p>\n<p>In addition, Pakistan\u2019s current account\u00a0posted a deficit of $112 million\u00a0in October 2025, data released by the SBP showed.<\/p>\n<p>SBP-held foreign exchange reserves\u00a0rose to $14.58 billion as of December 5, 2025, the central bank said.<\/p>\n<p>Net foreign reserves held by commercial banks stood at $5.03 billion, taking the country\u2019s total liquid foreign reserves to $19.61 billion.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brecorder.com\/news\/40397268\/sbp-lowers-policy-rate-to-105-with-50bps-reduction\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Business Recorder<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Decision contrary to market expectations, which expected central bank to maintain status quo. Contrary to market expectations, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) decided to reduce the policy rate by 50 basis points (bps) to 10.5% on Monday. The market expected the central bank to maintain the status quo. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6027,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"_FSMCFIC_featured_image_caption":"","_FSMCFIC_featured_image_nocaption":"","_FSMCFIC_featured_image_hide":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post","format-standard"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 4.9.9 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Decision contrary to market expectations, which expected central bank to maintain status quo. 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